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Natural disasters and clientelism Artículos académico

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Resumen

  • What are the effects of natural disasters on electoral results? Some authors claim that catastrophes have a negative effect on the survival of leaders in a democracy because voters have a propensity to punish politicians for not preventing or poorly handling a crisis. In contrast, this paper finds that these events might favor incumbents. Disasters are linked to leader survival through clientelism: they generate an in-flow of resources in the form of aid, which increases money for buying votes. Analyzing the rainy season of 2010–2011 in Colombia, considered its worst disaster in history, I use a difference-in-differences strategy to show that in the local election incumbent parties benefited from the disaster. The result is robust in regard to different specifications and alternative explanations. Moreover, I present evidence that goes against other common explanations found in the literature and that goes in line with the clientelism mechanism.

Área temática

  • Ciudades y comunidades sostenibles
  • Paz, justicia e instituciones sólidas

autores

  • http://research-hub.urosario.edu.co/ontology/vlocal#ExcludedPerson
    Jorge Andres Gallego Duran

Publicado en

  • Electoral Studies Revistas

fecha de publicación

  • octubre 1, 2018

Identidad

Identificador de objeto digital (DOI)

  • https://doi.org/10.1016/j.electstud.2018.08.001

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