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Tropospheric ozone radiative forcing uncertainty due to pre-industrial fire and biogenic emissions Artículos académico

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Resumen

  • pTropospheric ozone concentrations are sensitive to natural emissions of precursor compounds. In contrast to existing assumptions, recent evidence indicates that terrestrial vegetation emissions in the pre-industrial era were larger than in the present day. We use a chemical transport model and a radiative transfer model to show that revised inventories of pre-industrial fire and biogenic emissions lead to an increase in simulated pre-industrial ozone concentrations, decreasing the estimated pre-industrial to present-day tropospheric ozone radiative forcing by up to 34 % (0.38 to 0.25 W mspan classCombining double low line"inline-formula"-2/span). We find that this change is sensitive to employing biomass burning and biogenic emissions inventories based on matching vegetation patterns, as the co-location of emission sources enhances the effect on ozone formation. Our forcing estimates are at the lower end of existing uncertainty range estimates (0.2-0.6 W mspan classCombining double low line"inline-formula"-2/span), without accounting for other sources of uncertainty. Thus, future work should focus on reassessing the uncertainty range of tropospheric ozone radiative forcing.

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autores

  • http://research-hub.urosario.edu.co/ontology/vlocal#ExcludedPerson
    alexandru rap
  • http://research-hub.urosario.edu.co/ontology/vlocal#ExcludedPerson
    almut arneth
  • http://research-hub.urosario.edu.co/ontology/vlocal#ExcludedPerson
    douglas s hamilton
  • http://research-hub.urosario.edu.co/ontology/vlocal#ExcludedPerson
    jed o kaplan
  • http://research-hub.urosario.edu.co/ontology/vlocal#ExcludedPerson
    lars nieradzik
  • http://research-hub.urosario.edu.co/ontology/vlocal#ExcludedPerson
    martyn p chipperfield
  • http://research-hub.urosario.edu.co/ontology/vlocal#ExcludedPerson
    matthew j rowlinson
  • http://research-hub.urosario.edu.co/ontology/vlocal#ExcludedPerson
    piers m forster
  • http://research-hub.urosario.edu.co/ontology/vlocal#ExcludedPerson
    richard j pope
  • http://research-hub.urosario.edu.co/ontology/vlocal#ExcludedPerson
    steve r arnold
  • http://vivoweb.org/ontology/core#FacultyMember
    Stijn Erik R Hantson

Edición

  • 20

fecha de publicación

  • 2020-9-22

Identidad

Identificador de objeto digital (DOI)

  • https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-20-10937-2020

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