Forecasting retail fuel prices with spatial interdependencies Academic Article

abstract

  • This paper forecasts station-level retail fuel prices using econometric methods, incorporating spatial interdependencies. Error correction models with cross-sectional dependence outperform autoregressive models with wholesale prices or spatial effects, demonstrating the benefits of spatial interdependencies in terms of improved forecasting performance.

publication date

  • 2025-2-1

edition

  • 247