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  2. Jesús Gilberto Otero Cardona
Jesús Gilberto Otero Cardona
  • jesus.otero@urosario.edu.co

Jesús Gilberto Otero Cardona

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  • Profesor titular de carrera, Escuela de Economía y Negocios , Universidad del Rosario - 2005
  • Investigador, Grupo de Investigaciones Facultad de Economía , Escuela de Economía y Negocios - 2000

Áreas de investigación

  • Econometrics
  • Time Series Analysis
  • Perfil
  • Formación Académica
  • Publicaciones
  • Proyectos
  • Tutorías
  • Reconocimientos
  • Identidad

Perfil

Perfil Profesional

  • Profesor de la Facultad de Economía de la Universidad del Rosario, donde actualmente ocupa el cargo de Profesor Titular. El doctor Otero es Ph.D. en Economía por la University of Warwick (Reino Unido) donde también obtuvo el MSc. in Quantitative Development Economics. Anteriormente cursó la Maestría en Economía en la Universidad de los Andes, donde también se graduó como Economista.Sus intereses de investigación abarcan la econometría, la modelación con series de tiempo económicas y financieras, el pronóstico, las raíces unitarias, la cointegración, los modelos no lineales, y el análisis de datos de panel heterogéneos. En estas áreas ha hecho contribuciones significativas tanto teóricas como aplicadas.

    A lo largo de su carrera docente, ha impartido cursos de pregrado y posgrado en econometría, con un énfasis especial en el análisis de series de tiempo y la elaboración de pronósticos económicos y financieros. Asimismo, ha promovido activamente la enseñanza de herramientas de investigación cuantitativa, fomentando el desarrollo de habilidades analíticas y metodológicas en las nuevas generaciones de economistas. Su labor combina rigurosidad académica con una orientación práctica hacia la comprensión y solución de problemas económicos reales.Ha desarrollado una trayectoria investigativa ampliamente reconocida en el ámbito académico, con numerosas publicaciones en revistas internacionales indexadas que evidencian su productividad científica y su compromiso con la investigación de alto nivel.

    Su trabajo ha tenido un impacto significativo en la comunidad económica, como lo reflejan las frecuentes citas que recibe en bases de datos académicas y su posicionamiento destacado en los principales rankings de economistas, tanto a nivel nacional como internacional.

    • Formación Académica

    Formación Académica

  • 1989, Economista, Universidad de los Andes - Bogotá D.C.
  • 1990, Magíster en Economía, Universidad de los Andes - Bogotá D.C.
  • 1995, Master in Quantitative Development Economics, The University of Warwick
  • 1999, Doctor of Philosophy in Economics, The University of Warwick

    • Formación Académica Complementaria

  • 2014, Desarrollo Neurocognitivo de los Adolescentes y su Impacto en el Aprendizaje, Desarrollo profesoral-Universidad del Rosario
  • 2015, Geo Procesamiento y Georreferenciación con Arcgis, Desarrollo profesoral-Universidad del Rosario
  • 2017, Stata Programming Short Course, Desarrollo profesoral-Universidad del Rosario
  • 2018, Applied Non-Parametric Econometrics, Desarrollo profesoral-Universidad del Rosario
  • 2020, Ensenanza y Aprendizaje en Tiempos de TransFormación, Desarrollo profesoral-Universidad del Rosario
  • 2023, Género, Sexualidad y Diversidad: Pensar la Inclusion en el Aula, Desarrollo profesoral-Universidad del Rosario
  • 2023, Reconociendo y Desnaturalizando Las Violencias Basadas en Género- Vbg Fecha 5, Desarrollo profesoral-Universidad del Rosario
  • 2025, Comprendiendo las Métricas de Investigación: Factor de Impacto, Altmetrics y H-Index/ Understanding Research Metrics: Impact Factor, Altmetrics And H-, Desarrollo profesoral-Universidad del Rosario
  • 2025, Cómo Escribir Un Trabajo de Investigación de Manera Efectiva/ How To Write An Effective Research Paper, Desarrollo profesoral-Universidad del Rosario
  • 2025, Cómo Hacer Presentaciónes en Conferencias Internacionales/ How To Present At International Conferences, Desarrollo profesoral-Universidad del Rosario
  • 2025, Formas Importantes de Presentación de Datos: Gráficos, Figuras y Tablas/ Important Forms Of Presenting Data: Charts, Figures And Tables, Desarrollo profesoral-Universidad del Rosario
  • 2026, De Invisible a Inolvidable, Desarrollo profesoral-Universidad del Rosario

    • Publicaciones

    Publicaciones

  • artículos académico
    • Time-varying global crude oil price networks: Benchmarks and underlying drivers
      2026-10-1
    • Drivers of COVID-19 in U.S. counties: A wave-level analysis
      2025-9-1
    • Examining psychological barriers in exchange rates across various regimes and FX intervention
      2025-3-1
    • Forecasting retail fuel prices with spatial interdependencies
      2025-2-1
    • Testing the efficiency of oil price forecast revisions in times of COVID-19 and the Russia–Ukraine conflict
      2025-12-1
    • Quality differences, location, and coffee price returns networks: Insights from a high-dimensional CoVaR-copula analysis
      2025-11-1
    • Wholesale price rigidities and exchange rate pass-through: Evidence from daily data of agricultural products
      2023-8-31
    • Psychological price barriers, El Niño, La Niña: New insights for the case of coffee
      2023-1-1
    • Testing for time-varying Granger causality
      2022-6-30
    • Search intensity, search time and prices: evidence from retail diesel markets in France
      2022-2-19
    • Asymmetric behaviour and the 9-ending pricing of retail gasoline
      2022-10-19
    • The spatio-temporal dynamics of house prices across London
      2022-1-1
    • A one covariate at a time, multiple testing approach to variable selection in high-dimensional linear regression models: A replication in a narrow sense
      2021-9-1
    • Testing the efficiency of inflation and exchange rate forecast revisions in a changing economic environment
      2021-7-1
    • Unit-root tests for explosive behavior
      2021-12-1
    • The effects of FX-interventions on forecasters disagreement: A mixed data sampling view
      2021-11-1
    • Convergence in retail gasoline prices: insights from Canadian cities
      2021-1-1
    • Testing for exuberance in house prices using data sampled at different frequencies
      2021-1-1
    • The dynamics of U.S. industrial production: A time-varying Granger causality perspective
      2021-1-1
    • The wage curve within and across regions: new insights from a pairwise view of US states
      2021-1-1
    • Rigidities and adjustments of daily prices to costs: Evidence from supermarket data
      2020-7-1
    • The Beveridge Curve Across US States: New Insights From a Pairwise Approach
      2020-4-1
    • A tale of two coffees? Analysing interaction and futures market efficiency
      2020-1-1
    • Multivariate Cointegration and Temporal Aggregation: Some Further Simulation Results
      2020-1-1
    • Predicting early career productivity of PhD economists: Does advisor-match matter?
      2020-1-1
    • Re-examining the movements of crude oil spot and futures prices over time
      2019-8-1
    • Interest rate convergence across maturities: Evidence from bank data in an emerging market economy
      2019-7-1
    • Property heterogeneity and convergence club formation among local house prices
      2019-3-1
    • Una base de datos de precios y características de vivienda en Colombia con información de internet
      2019-1-1
    • Climbing the property ladder: An analysis of market integration in London property prices
      2018-9-1
    • Explaining coffee price differentials in terms of chemical markers: Evidence from a pairwise approach
      2018-1-1
    • Forecasting inflation under varying frequencies
      2018-1-1
    • Unit-root tests based on forward and reverse Dickey-Fuller regressions
      2018-1-1
    • Investigating diesel market integration in France: Evidence from micro data
      2017-3-1
    • Testing for spatial market integration: evidence for Colombia using a pairwise approach
      2017-11-1
    • A Pair-wise Analysis of Intra-city Price Convergence Within the Paris Housing Market
      2017-1-1
    • Integration in gasoline and ethanol markets in Brazil over time and space under the flex-fuel technology
      2017-1-1
    • Response surface models for OLS and GLS detrending-based unit-root tests in nonlinear estar models
      2017-1-1
    • Response surface models for the Elliott, Rothenberg, and stock unit-root test
      2017-1-1
    • A pairwise-based approach to examining the Feldstein–Horioka condition of international capital mobility
      2016-3-1
    • On financial liberalization and long-run risk sharing
      2016-12-1
    • Interest rate pass through and asymmetries in retail deposit and lending rates: An analysis using data from Colombian banks
      2015-9-1
    • A pair-wise analysis of the law of one price: Evidence from the crude oil market
      2015-4-1
    • The expectations hypothesis and decoupling of short- and long-term US interest rates: A pairwise approach
      2015-11-1
    • Re-examining the Feldstein-Horioka and Sachs' views of capital mobility: A heterogeneous panel setup
      2014-9-1
    • Crude oil price differentials, product heterogeneity and institutional arrangements
      2014-12-1
    • A spatiotemporal analysis of agricultural prices: An application to Colombian data
      2013-9-1
    • A note on the extent of U.S. regional income convergence
      2013-6-13
    • The long-run behaviour of the terms of trade between primary commodities and manufactures: A panel data approach
      2013-4-1
    • On the dynamics of gasoline market integration in the United States: Evidence from a pair-wise approach
      2013-3-1
    • Modelling the behaviour of unemployment rates in the US over time and across space
      2013-11-15
    • Response Surface Estimates of the Cross-Sectionally Augmented IPS Tests for Panel Unit Roots
      2013-1-1
    • Testing the law of one price in retail banking: An analysis for Colombia using a pair-wise approach
      2013-1-1
    • Response surface models for the Leybourne unit root tests and lag order dependence
      2012-9-1
    • PPP in OECD Countries: An Analysis of Real Exchange Rate Stationarity, Cross-Sectional Dependency and Structural Breaks
      2012-11-1
    • Testing the law of one price in food markets: Evidence for Colombia using disaggregated data
      2011-4-1
    • Real interest parity: A note on Asian countries using panel stationarity tests
      2011-12-1
    • Investigating regional house price convergence in the United States: Evidence from a pair-wise approach
      2011-11-1
    • The term structure of interest rates, the expectations hypothesis and international financial integration: Evidence from Asian economies
      2011-10-1
    • On the stationarity of current account deficits in the European union
      2010-9-1
    • Are EU budget deficits stationary?
      2010-6-1
    • Statistical inference for testing gini coefficients: An application for Colombia
      2010-6-1
    • Statistical inference for testiong Gini coefficients: An aplication for Colombia
      2010-6-1
    • Pricing behaviour under competition in the UK electricity supply industry
      2009-9-2
    • Modelling the monetary policy reaction function of the Colombian Central Bank
      2009-4-8
    • Testing for stationarity in heterogeneous panel data in the presence of cross-section dependence
      2009-2-1
    • An estimation of the pattern of diffusion of mobile phones: The case of Colombia
      2009-11-1
    • Testing for unit roots in three-dimensional heterogeneous panels in the presence of cross-sectional dependence
      2008-12-1
    • Testing for stock market integration in a developing economy: Colombia
      2007-7-1
    • Testing for seasonal unit roots in heterogeneous panels in the presence of cross section dependence
      2007-11-1
    • Inflation before and after central bank independence: The case of Colombia
      2006-2-1
    • Testing for seasonal unit roots in heterogeneous panels
      2005-2-1
    • The KPSS test with outliers
      2005-11-1
    • Forecasting the spot prices of various coffee types using linear and non-linear error correction models
      2004-7-20
    • Forecasting the spot spices of various coffee types using linear and non-linear error correction models
      2004-7-1
    • Book Review of Trade shocks and developing countries. Vol. 2: Asia and Latin America. (Clarendon Press, Oxford, 1999) Eds. Paul Collier, Jan Willem Gunning and Associates
      2004-1-1
    • On the dynamics of unemployment in a developing economy: Colombia
      2003-11-15
    • Modelling official and parallel exchange rates in Colombia under alternative regimes: A non-linear approach
      2003-1-1
    • Smooth transition vector error correction models for the spot prices of coffee
      2002-11-15
    • On the dynamics of lending and deposit interest rates in emerging markets: A non-linear approach
      2002-1-1
    • The timing of tariff structure changes in regulated industries: Evidence from England and Wales
      2002-1-1
    • Modelling the spot prices of various coffee types
      2001-12-1
    • Coffee export booms and monetary disequilibrium: Some evidence for Colombia
      2001-1-1
    • Incumbent and entrant response to regulated competition: Signalling with accounting costs and market prices
      2001-1-1
    • Price discrimination, regulation and entry in the UK residential electricity market
      2001-1-1
    • Coffee, economic fluctuations and stabilisation: An intertemporal disequilibrium model with capital market imperfections
      2000-6-1
    • Testing for cointegration: Power versus frequency of observation - Further Monte Carlo results
      2000-4-1
    • The real exchange rate in Colombia: An analysis using multivariate cointegration
      1999-5-1
    • Structural breaks and seasonal integration
      1997-9-26

  • capítulos
    • Integración espacial de precios de productos agrícolas
      2015-12-28

  • documentos de trabajo
    • An analysis of the relationship between wages in the public and private sector in colombia: a panel data approach
      2011-1-1
    • Statistical inference for testing Gini coefficients: an application for Colombia
      2009-6-1
    • Modelling the monetary policy reaction function of the Colombian Central Bank
      2008-4-1
    • An estimation of the pattern of diffusion of mobile phones: The case of Colombia
      2008-11-1
    • Testing the Law of One Price in food markets: Evidence for Colombia using disaggregated data
      2008-10-1
    • Are EU budget deficits sustainable?
      2008-1-1
    • On The Sustainability of the EUs Current Account Deficits
      2007-1-1
    • Testing for Stock Market Integration in a Developing Economy: Colombia
      2006-8-1
    • Supply competition and price behaviour in the UK electricity supply industry
      2004-1-1
    • On the determinants of the inflation rate in Colombia: a disequilibrium market approach
      2002-1-1
    • Seasonal adjustment and cointegration
      2002-1-1

  • comentarios
    • Erratum: Unit-root tests for explosive behavior (Stata Journal, (2021), (21), (999–1020), 10.1177/1536867X211063405)
      2022-3-1
    • Erratum: The KPSS test with outliers (Computational Economics (241-249) 10.1007/s10614-005-9008-0)
      2007-5-1

  • prensa y medios
    • The Billionaire Math Geek Who Turned AI Into a Money-Printing Machine
      2026
    • Findings from University of Rosario Reveals New Findings on COVID-19 (Testing the Efficiency of Oil Price Forecast Revisions In Times of Covid-19 and the Russia-ukraine Conflict)
      2025
    • Findings from University of Waikato in Behavioral and Experimental Finance Reported (Examining Psychological Barriers In Exchange Rates Across Various Regimes and Fx Intervention)
      2025
    • Jesús Otero, more than 30 years devoted to teaching
      2024
    • The winners and awards of the Portfolio 30 Years Awards
      2024
    • New Psychology and Psychiatry Findings from University of Rosario Reported (Psychological Price Barriers, El Nino, La Nina: New Insights for the Case of Coffee)
      2023

    • Proyectos

    Investigador Principal

  • Estrategia para el fortalecimiento: Instituciones, comunidades y territorio. 2018-09-14 - 2023-09-14
  • Un análisis sobre la eficiencia en la revisión de pronósticos de los analistas económicos en tiempos de pandemia: El caso del precio internacional del petróleo. 2022-04-01 - 2023-03-14
  • Construcción de una base de datos de precios y características de viviendas en Colombia 2017-03-06 - 2018-08-31
  • Estimación de modelos de superficie de respuesta de la prueba de raíz unitaria de Elliott, Rothenberg y Stock (1996) 2016-07-15 - 2017-01-15
  • Integración de mercados y ley del precio único: Un análisis para el mercado mundial de petróleo 2014-05-01 - 2014-10-28
  • Estimación de modelos de superficie de respuesta de la prueba de raíz unitaria de Kapetanios, Shin y Snell (2003)" 2013-02-01 - 2014-02-14
  • Comportamiento de salarios del Sector Público en Colombia: Un análisis de convergencia. 2010-04-15 - 2010-10-14
  • Contraste de Raíces Unitarias Estacionales en Paneles Heterogéneos usando Datos Mensuales 2006-10-01 - 2007-04-24
  • Evaluación de los Determinantes Tasa de Inflación 2001-02-22 - 2001-08-21
  • Testing for spatial market integration: Evidence for Colombia using a pair-wise approach

    • Coinvestigador

  • Aspectos macroeconómicos e institucionales sobre las causas y consecuencias de la informalidad 2018-10-01 - 2022-09-30
  • Climbing the property ladder: An analysis of market integration in London property prices
  • Unit root tests based on forward and reverse Dickey-Fuller regressions

    • Tutorías

    Tutorías

  • A factor model to forecast Colombian inflation using a One Covariate at a Time - Multiple Testing approach (OCMT) Tesis
  • Análisis de la relación entre el precio de la acción de Ecopetrol y los precios internacionales del petróleo Tesis
  • Determinantes de la cartera del sector financiero en Colombia: un análisis basado en un modelo de corrección de errores vectorial Tesis
  • Estimación del grado de desanclaje de las expectativas de inflación del mercado financiero: un análisis para Colombia Tesis
  • Evaluación de modelos para el pronóstico del precio externo del café Tesis
  • Exportaciónes de China en Estados Unidos implicaciones comerciales para América Latina Tesis
  • Financial vs traditional pricing models: which model explains better real estate prices in Bogotá? Tesis
  • PPP, UIP and Fisher parity: speculation or rational expectations? Evidence for four Latin American countries Tesis
  • Precios de la vivienda y calidad : un análisis espacial utilizando información de Internet Tesis
  • Sentimiento del mercado y minutas del banco central Tesis
  • Transmisión de Precios en el Mercado Andino del Aceite de Palma Tesis

    • Reconocimientos

    Premios Y Honores

  • Profesor (a) Distinguido (a), 2006

    • Identidad

    Nombre De Autor

  • Jesús Gilberto Otero Cardona

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